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The Black Swan

The Black Swan

Nassim Taleb · 2007 · 544 pages
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About the book

Nassim Taleb revolutionizes our understanding of risk by arguing that improbable, high-impact events—"black swans"—dominate history far more than predictions based on historical patterns suggest. Challenging conventional statistical models, Taleb demonstrates why our intuition fails us when assessing extreme probabilities and how "impossible" events transform fields from economics to politics. The book is an incisive critique of the illusion of predictability and an exploration of how to survive and thrive in a fundamentally uncertain world.

Essential for anyone seeking to understand real risk, uncertainty, and the limitations of knowledge in a nonlinear world.

Book details
AuthorNassim Taleb
Year of publication2007
Pages544

Recommended by 3 people

Jeff Bezos
Jeff BezosFounder and former CEO · Amazon, Blue Origin
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