Superforecasting
The Art and Science of Prediction
Philip E. Tetlock · 2015 · 500 pages
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About the book
Tetlock reveals the secrets behind "superforecasters"—extraordinary people capable of making long-term predictions with remarkable accuracy. Based on two decades of research, the author demonstrates that forecasting is a skill that can be learned, not an innate gift.
The book combines fascinating stories, practical techniques and scientific insights to show how to think better about the future, avoid mental traps and make better decisions in business, politics and personal life.
Book details
| Author | Philip E. Tetlock |
|---|---|
| Year of publication | 2015 |
| Pages | 500 |
Recommended by 3 people
Shane ParrishWriter and entrepreneur · Farnam Street, fs.blog
Recommended
Anthony PomplianoInvestor and podcaster · Morgan Creek Digital
”Best books I read in 2017”
Michael MauboussinStrategist and author · Santa Fe Institute, Morgan Stanley
”Superforecasting is most important book since Thinking, Fast & Slow”
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