Bill GatesCo-founder · Microsoft, Gates Foundation
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Signal and the Noise
The Art and Science of Prediction
Nate Silver · 2012 · 534 pages
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About the book
Nate Silver, the statistician behind presidential election forecasting, explores why our ability to make predictions is so limited—and how we can improve it. Analyzing fields as varied as meteorology, economics, politics, and epidemiology, Silver demonstrates that success in predicting the future depends less on the amount of data and more on thinking critically about which information really matters.
The book unpacks common cognitive errors, the power of Bayesian thinking, and the difference between signal (true information) and noise (distraction). An essential read for anyone who wants to understand probability and uncertainty in the modern world.
Book details
| Author | Nate Silver |
|---|---|
| Original title | The Signal and the Noise |
| Year of publication | 2012 |
| Pages | 534 |
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